Indeks Dolar AS Jatuh Ke Terendah Di Dekat 95,80 2 – Solid Gold Berjangka

 

Solid Gold Berjangka ~ Greenback, dalam Indeks Dolar AS (DXY), diperdagangkan pada catatan buruk di awal tahun baru, berada di bawah tekanan jual di sekitar wilayah 95,80.

Indeks Dolar AS melihat data perdagangan dan shutdown

Indeks meninggalkan kenaikan awal selama sesi Asia, ketika laporan buruk IMP Manufaktur Caixin China memberi dorongan untuk permintaan Greenback.

Namun, sentimen telah berubah suram setelah itu dan sekarang menopang bias pembelian di sekitar safe haven Yen Jepang, pada gilirannya menopang penurunan USD/JPY lebih rendah.

Di ruang data, data Penjualan Rumah Baru dan perdagangan November telah ditunda karena penutupan federal, meninggalkan IMP Manufaktur Markit untuk bulan Desember satu-satunya rilis untuk hari ini.

Apa yang harus dicari di sekitar DXY?

Greenback mengakhiri tahun lalu naik lebih dari 4%, sebagian mengimbangi penurunan sebelumnya hampir 10%. Dalam waktu dekat, penutupan sebagian dari pemerintah AS muncul sebagai risiko langsung terhadap Dolar AS, sementara optimisme baru pada front perdagangan AS-China tampaknya telah muncul setelah pembicaraan Trump-Xi pada akhir pekan. Di baris yang sama, Dolar harus tetap waspada pada efervesensi Trump-Powell mengenai suku bunga, sementara fokus tetap pada sikap ‘tergantung data’ dari Fed dan jalur suku bunganya untuk tahun berjalan.

Level relevan Indeks Dolar AS

Pada saat penulisan indeks kehilangan 0,17% di 95,89 dan terobosan di bawah 95,65 (terendah 1 Jan) akan membuka pintu ke 95,05 (terendah 16 Oktober 2017) dan akhirnya 94,22 (terendah 24 September 2017). Pada sisi positif, rintangan terdekat muncul di 96,44 (SMA 10-hari) didukung oleh 96,77 (SMA 21-hari) dan kemudian 97,05 (tertinggi 26 Desember).

FXstreet

source

The greenback, in terms of the US Dollar Index (DXY), is trading on a sour note at the beginning of the new year, coming under selling pressure around the 95.80 region.

US Dollar Index looks to trade, shutdown

The index left behind initial gains during the Asian session, when poor prints from the Chinese Caixin manufacturing PMI gave a boost to the demand for the greenback.

However, sentiment has turned sour afterwards and is now propping up the buying bias around the safe haven Japanese Yen, in turn underpinning the leg lower in USD/JPY.

In the data space, New Home Sales and November trade data has been postponed due to the federal shutdown, leaving Markit’s manufacturing PMI for the month of December the only release for today.

What to look for around DXY?

The greenback finished last year up by more than 4%, partially offsetting the previous drop of nearly 10%. In the near term, the partial shutdown of the US government emerges as the immediate risk to the buck, while fresh optimism on the US-China trade front seems to have turned up following Trump-Xi talks over the weekend. In the same line, the Dollar should stay vigilant on the Trump-Powell effervescence on rates, while eyes should remain upon the renewed ‘data-dependent’ stance of the Fed and its rate path for the current year.

US Dollar Index relevant levels

As of writing the index is losing 0.17% at 95.89 and a break below 95.65 (low Jan.1) would open the door to 95.05 (low Oct.16 2017) and finally 94.22 (low Sep.24 2017). On the upside, the immediate hurdle emerges at 96.44 (10-day SMA) seconded by 96.77 (21-day SMA) and then 97.05 (high Dec.26).

FXstreet

 

 

Solid Gold Berjangka